Russia Monitor

Russia After 2024: Chancellor Putin Seems an Unlike Scenario
07/15/2019

Shortly after Vladimir Putin took the oath of office for his next term as Russian president, many speculated what the Kremlin's host would be able to do in a bid to remain in power after his two consecutive terms expire in 2024. Under one of many theories that have recently resonated in the media, Putin could serve as a prime minister, however enjoying greater powers, a shift possible thanks to changing election rules. What was reported by a Western news agency Bloomberg, quoting its anonymous sources in Moscow as saying, resembled an instance of disinformation and the Kremlin's self-made test rather than anything else.

Druzhba Pipeline Failure: Belarus Assesses Losses, More Suspects Are Coming Up
07/10/2019

A few weeks have passed since a major failure of the Druzhba oil pipeline and there is still no answer to the three key issues. First of all, the system has not yet been fully cleaned up. Secondly, Russia has still not decided to compensate foreign recipients for all losses incurred. And thirdly, investigators are probing into who is to be blamed for and, while new suspects are coming up, this does not answer the question whose fault it was.

INF Treaty Collapse Is Russia's Fault
07/09/2019

Moscow denied accusations of being to blame for the collapse of the Treaty on the Elimination of the Intermediate-Range and Shorter-Range Missiles, commonly referred to as INF. Europe's security ahead of the U.S. planned withdrawal from the Treaty on August 2 was part of the official agenda of the latest NATO-Russian Council meeting. And as initially expected, the bilateral summit failed to bring a rapprochement of positions. Moscow says it will not place medium-range missiles at locations where there are no U.S. weapons. But the problem is that Russia has already placed at least four battalions, with its decade-long treaty-breaching behavior leading to Washington's pullout of the agreement.

Morales's Visit to Moscow: Bolivia Drifts Closer to Russia
07/09/2019

Russian authorities keep solidifying their influence in Latin America. Naturally, their priority is to help save the Maduro regime in Venezuela, but Moscow also seeks to back Cuba and Nicaragua. And now Bolivia is facing an opportunity to rise in importance. Bolivian President Evo Morales will visit the Kremlin on July 11 to sign strategic partnership agreements between his country and Russia.

Is Turexit Possible? Ankara's New S-400s Is NATO's Problem
07/08/2019

Ankara's determination to acquire Russian-made missile systems will enrage both its NATO peers and the United States. But Recep Tayyip Erdogan hopes U.S. President Donald Trump will block Washington's sanctions on Ankara. Yet this does not change the fact that outfitting the Turkish army with S-400 air defense missiles poses a threat to the security of the entire Alliance. It is to expect that NATO will drastically cut short cooperation with Ankara yet while making an attempt to seek a compromise. Excluding from NATO a strategically located country with such a numerous army does not offer benefits to the Alliance. And a similar solution is not at all sought by Turkey, either.

Russia's Finance Tsar Don't Like Oil Companies
06/30/2019

Russia's deputy prime minister and finance minister Anton Siluanov, who has recently grown in strength in domestic policy, clashed with the country's favored financial sector. Given his increasing importance as a member of the government, it should be said that a signal was sent to Russian oil firms to watch their backs and even to support the Kremlin.

Osaka G20 Summit: Putin and Trump Fail to Get New Yalta
06/29/2019

The Kremlin's sole success is that the meeting between the two leaders took place at all, and Vladimir Putin should not count on anything else, which is what he might have known a few days ahead of bilateral talks with Donald Trump on Osaka. This was due to Putin's mounting actions, a step that triggered off provocations in Cuba and Venezuela, and the president's openness while addressing the nation during his question and answer session.

Oil Price Jumps in Russia Following Government-Oilers Contract Expiry
06/27/2019

Russian Paratroopers Deployed to Serbia As Part of Slavic Brotherhood 2019 Drills
06/27/2019

The joint Serbian-Russian-Belarusian tactical military maneuvers Slavic Brotherhood have recently culminated in Serbia. The state authorities emphasized the political importance of the drills amid tensions with neighboring Kosovo. Military exercises and the rhetoric adopted by the majority of local politicians and media confirm ever-closer cooperation between Belgrade and Moscow. It is noteworthy that they are still more symbolic than practical, with the Serbs being much more actively involved in holding joint military training activities with NATO member states.

Russians in the Caribbean: Sending Signal for Trump Before Osaka Summit
06/26/2019

Chinese-Russian Unequal Partnership
Latest Special Report from 06/28/2019

RUSSIA MONITOR MONTHLY 05/2019
Latest Monthly Summary